Eastern Conference
(1) Montreal Canadiens vs. (8) Boston Bruins
I don’t think there will be a big surprise upset here. The Canadiens have had the Bruins’ number all season, taking all eight meetings this year (outscoring Boston 38-16) and 11 straight overall. The two teams are almost polar opposites with Montreal scoring the most goals in the league and having the best power play going into the playoffs at 24.2%, Boston is near the bottom of the league in both. Same goes with the PK. The only place the Bruins might be able to match the Canadiens is in net, where Tim Thomas has been very good lately and although Carey Price has been on fire to end the season, we all know that experience is huge in the post-season.
Both teams have to deal with some serious injuries as Montreal will probably be without captain Saku Koivu and the Bruins have been without leading scorer Marc Savard and Patrice Bergeron for an extended period of time. However, unless something absolutely insane happens, look for Montreal to come out on top and possibly go for a serious Cup run.
Prediction: Montreal in 4.
(2) Pittsburgh Penguins vs. (7) Ottawa Senators
The Sens are a huge mess right now and barely squeaked into the playoffs after burning the league up at the beginning of the season. They’ve been mediocre since mid-January and were in danger of missing the post-season despite having three of the best players in the game in Dany Heatley, Jason Spezza and captain Daniel Alfredsson. The Pens, on the other hand, played a significant amount of time without superstar Sidney Crosby and still came within two points of the Eastern Conference title, mostly on the back of Evgeni Malkin’s 106 points, which will most likely earn the sophomore some MVP consideration. A healthy Crosby playing with sniper Marian Hossa, acquired from Atlanta at the trade deadline, and possibly the league’s best offensive defenseman Sergei Gonchar, give the Penguins an offensive edge considering Ottawa’s woes. However, the Penguins lack a real defensive stud and will have to deal with Wade Redden, Chris Phillips and Andrej Meszaros before they get anywhere near Martin Gerber.
Look for Gerber to continue to start for the Senators despite having less playoff experience than Ray Emery, who backstopped the Sens to a finals appearance the year before. Emery has been a distraction for the Sens all year, getting into fights with teammates and getting in trouble with the law. On the flip side, Marc-Andre Fleury has been fantastic since his return from injury and backup Ty Conklin was a big reason why the Penguins almost won the East so give the Penguins the edge in goal.
Most of Pittsburgh is healthy at the moment while Ottawa’s Alfredsson is on the mend. Take the Penguins to come out on top.
Prediction: Penguins in 5.
(3) Washington Capitals vs. (6) Philadelphia Flyers
The Caps have to be the feel-good story of the year, coming around after a coaching change to win their division after languishing at the bottom of the league at the start. This will be Alex Ovechkin’s first post-season appearance and the MVP front-runner has been hot as all hell this year, leading the Caps to win 11 of their last 12 games and scoring 17 points (with a +13) during that stretch. You can be sure he’s excited to make the playoffs and will try to elevate his game to another level, which is ridiculously scary. The Flyers are still without Simon Gagne and Daniel Briere was out for the last couple games of the season. Philly hopes to have Briere back for the round and will rely on him, Mike Richards and Vaclav Prospal up front. Although the numbers will say the Flyers have the edge offensively, the Caps forwards have really turned it on after being terrible to start the season so it will be very close either way.
Defensively the Flyers have a more experienced corp with youngster Braydon Coburn probably drawing the Ovechkin assignment. The Flyers will also probably get Derian Hatcher back soon to add to Kimmo Timonen and Jason Smith. The Caps are a make-shift bunch on the blueline but coach Bruce Boudreau has everyone working hard. Although Martin Biron had a shutout streak to finish the year, Washington’s Christobal Huet ended on a nine-game winning streak and has been fantastic as of late.
There’s no clear choice here but with the season the Caps are having, you have to think that their Cinderella story isn’t ending in the first round.
Prediction: Capitals in 7
(4) New Jersey Devils vs. (5) New York Rangers
It’s really hard to bet against Martin Brodeur. Although he started slow, the man who will probably end up as the best goalie of all time when he hangs up his skates has had another great year. However, the Rangers’ Henrik Lundqvist has gone 7-0-1 against the Devils this year with a GAA of just over a goal a game. Although Brodeur has much more experience, it is hard to argue with numbers like that.
Neither team has had a lot of success scoring goals as Jaromir Jagr finished with his lowest numbers since the early ’90s and, well, no one on the Devils as been great offensively all year. The Rangers probably have the slight edge in depth up front and the Devils in the back just because they’ve got a slight size advantage. I wouldn’t expect this series to be a barn-burner. Although the Devils haven’t had any success against the Rangers this year, they’ll put up a fight here.
Prediction: Rangers in 6.
Western Conference
(1) Detroit Red Wings vs. (8) Nashville Predators
Everyone who thought the Predators, who traded away so many key players and slashed payroll in anticipation of an ownership change, would make the playoffs this year put up your hands. Congratulations…all of you with your hands up are liars.
The Preds have some solid players all around but there’s no denying that Detroit has the advantage just about everywhere. Up front is Pavel Datsyuk and Henrik Zetterburg. Leading the defense is Nicklas Lidstrom, one of the best defenseman of all time. Seriously, this guy has never even had a minus season and while putting up points that are near or at the top of the league’s d-men every year. The only question for Detroit is in goal but Chris Osgood and Dominik Hasek have the experience necessary for the playoffs.
Although the Wings have struggled in the latter half of the season, they are still the league’s best team. The Preds have been surprising but they will be overwhelmed by Detroit.
Prediction: Red Wings in 5.
(2) San Jose Sharks vs. (7) Calgary Flames
No team is hotter than the San Jose Sharks going into the post-season and everyone in the West wanted to stay the hell away from them so the Flames are going to have their work cut out for them. Luckily for them, they are led by possibly the best man for the job in Jarome Iginla. Iginla has another gear when everything is on the line and he’ll bring it this series. He’ll probably be playing with Daymond Langkow and Kristian Huselius, although the latter has fallen out of favor with coach Mike Keenan for his lack of physical play, which is a big factor in the playoffs. However, the three have had success playing together this year and will need it against big Joe Thornton and Brian Campbell, who is probably the best acquisition of the trade deadline.
The Flames are no slouch on the blueline either with Dion Phaneuf but he has yet to show he can bring it in the playoffs. Robyn Regehr and Cory Sarich are likely to match up against Thornton as Calgary’s shutdown pair and have the size and toughness over the Sharks in that department. However, the Sharks are bigger everywhere else and have a more balanced team overall.
Miikka Kiprusoff is a perennial Vezina candidate but he hasn’t been in top form this year. Evgeni Nabakov, on the other hand, could be this year’s favorite to take the top goalie award and working with the San Jose defense, he’ll have the advantage in net.
Prediction: Sharks in 6.
(3) Minnesota Wild vs. (6) Colorado Avalanche
When healthy, Marian Gaborik may be one of the best forwards in the league, and lucky for Wild fans, he’s been healthier this year than ever before in his career. Although the Wild still don’t play a particularly offensive brand of hockey, they can bust out a massive goal output at any given time. Gaborik in particular can burn teams with his speed and incredible goal-scoring skills, as he did with a five-goal effort earlier this year. The Wild have a speed advantage over the Avs and will be able to match them for depth up front with Pavol Demitra, Brian Rolston, Pierre-Marc Bouchard and Mikko Koivu.
The Avs, however, have the bionic man Peter Forsberg, who looks like he might be back to game shape despite being a disappointment since signing near the trade deadline. When healthy, Frosberg is a dominant blend of size, hands and speed although he has seldom been healthy in recent years. The Avalanche are led by Joe Sakic and Paul Stastny who have been sidelined with injuries most of the year but scary when healthy.
On the blueline, it’s hard to bet against Adam Foote, another player who really brings it in the post-season. The Wild aren’t going to dazzle you but their defensive system is solid. Neither team really has the edge here, which is the same story in net. The Wild goaltenders have been solid all year but Jose Theodore is one of the best comeback stories of the year. The former Hart trophy winner could be considered the Avs’ MVP after he kept them in the playoff hunt despite the team being decimated by injuries all year long. This will be a hard fought series and we could see an upset here.
Prediction: Avalanche in 6.
(4) Anaheim Ducks vs. (5) Dallas Stars
The Stars haven’t had much post-season success in recent years after early round exits. Captain Brendan Morrow, Mike Modano and Mike Ribeiro (coming off a career year) lead the Stars up front along with deadline acquisition Brad Richards. Although Richards had five assists in his Stars debut, he hasn’t been particularly good or even visible since. He’ll definitely need to show some of his Conn Smythe-winning form in order for the Stars to have a chance against the Ducks. The Ducks, on the other hand, could sure use leading goal-scorer Corey Perry as healthy as possible and for Chris Kunitz to step up his game. However, the returning Teemu Selanne and Ryan Getzlaf is formidable enough. The real story up front is the Ducks shutdown checking line of Samuel Pahlsson, Travis Moen and Rob Niedermayer. Pahlsson is possibly the league’s best defensive forward and could’ve won the Conn Smythe last year. They were essential during last year’s Cup run and will be again this year.
On D, the Stars had a pleasant surprise this year in Matt Niskanen who had a fantastic rookie season but they’ll need Sergei Zubov back as soon as possible. I mean, for the Ducks you have Scott Niedermayer, Chris Pronger, Mathieu Schneider and Francois Beauchemin. That’s almost unfair.
Marty Turco had some absolutely ridiculous numbers against the Canucks last year even though his team lost the series but this year, he hasn’t been as good as he should be so give the J.S. Giguere the edge in net…as well as the Ducks in the series.
Prediction: Ducks in 5.